UFC 272 Main Card Predictions: Covington vs. Masvidal

The UFC is back at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas with a star-studded PPV card.

In the main event, we have a Welterweight grudge match as former teammates duke it out in Colby COvington and Jorge Masvidal, both coming off losses to Kamaru Usman. The co-main event features a catchweight bout between Rafael Dos Anjos and Renato Moicano, who stepped in on short notice after Rafael Fiziev fell out.

Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal (WW)

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Colby Covington (16-3, 11-3 UFC) is coming off his second loss and unsuccessful title bid against Kamaru Usman. Before that, he captured a fifth round TKO over Tyron Woodleh\y to earn the Usman rematch. He has heavy pressure and next-level wrestling chops, blended together into an all-out onslaught of violence. Colby’s striking produces a much higher output, although less reliant upon power, as he recently took the record for most landed strikes in his July bout against Robbie Lawler. On top of that, Covington has an underrated submission game when the opportunity to choke his opponent out presents itself.

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Jorge Masvidal (35-15, 12-8 UFC) quickly became one of the superstars of the sport due to his 2019 campaign, earning three knockout wins, along with securing the record for fastest knockout ever in the UFC. “Gamebred” has looked revitalized in recent fights, surging forward from opening bell until the fight ends. He obviously has real KO power, as well as an underrated jiu-jitsu game not often acknowledged because of only two submissions on his record. Still, his key strength lies within his boxing and striking volume, suffering when able to be controlled. Masvidal, otherwise known as “Street Jesus” has acknowledged that his weakest area is when fights go to decision so he has been doing everything in his power not to let fights go there. He has not competed since his losing to Kamaru Usman via knockout in their second meeting.

Whether or not you believe the beef behind this fight is real, there’s no doubt that it is an exciting match. Colby brings a frenetic pace into the Octagon, with a high striking rate and a ludicrous takedown pace. Masvidal has some of the most slick boxing in the UFC, with the technique to catch Covington and the power to put him away. Historically, Masvidal has struggled in bouts where he is unable to hold his footing, and I see Colby working from top position and in the clinch for the decision win.

My Pick: Colby Covington via Decision

Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Renato Moicano (160 lbs)

I respect Moicano for stepping up on short notice after Fiziev fell out, this is a tough step up against a game and well rounded veteran. Moicano is most dangerous on the mat, but also features crisp Muay Thai technique. RDA, likewise, brings in a jiu-jitsu background, but he strikes me as the more dangerous threat on the feet. Even though Moicano is the larger man in the cage, RDA has competed up at Welterweight, and his defensive grappling and varied offensive threat will cause Moicano difficulty. THis bout is scheduled for five rounds, and I expect an RDA knockout in the latter half of the fight.

My Pick: Rafael Dos Anjos via Knockout

Edson Barboza vs. Bryce Mitchell (FTW)

My Pick: Edson Barboza via Knockout

Kevin Holland vs. Alex Oliveira (WW)

My Pick: Kevin Holland via Decision

Sergey Spivak vs. Greg Hardy (HW)

My Pick: Sergey Spivak via Knockout

The main card kicks off at 10 PM EST, with eight prelim bouts leading up to the action!

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